Joint american-russian project with participation of:
American University in MoscowKontinent USARussia House
American-Russian relations: from confrontation to alliance
Last updated: 7 February 2012

::Business

Fears grow over global food supply

Fears grow over global food supply
September 3, 2010
Javier Blas, Courtney Weaver, Simon Mundy

Russia announced a 12-month extension of its grain export ban on Thursday, raising fears about a return to the food shortages and riots of 2007-08 which spread through developing countries dependent on imports.

The announcement by Vladimir Putin came as the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organisation called an emergency meeting to discuss the wheat shortage, and riots in Mozambique left seven dead.

The unrest in Maputo, in which 280 people were also injured, followed the government’s decision to raise bread prices by 30 per cent. Police opened fire on demonstrators after thousands turned out to protest against the price hikes, burning tyres and looting food warehouses.

Although agricultural officials and traders insist that wheat and other crop supplies are more abundant than in 2007-08, officials fear the deadly Mozambique riots could be replicated.

The 2007-08 food shortages, the most severe in 30 years, set off riots in countries from Bangladesh to Mexico, and helped to trigger the collapse of governments in Haiti and Madagascar.

The Russian announcement extended an export ban first announced last month until late December 2011, sending wheat and other cereals prices to near a two-year high.

The FAO said that «the concern about a possible repeat of the 2007-08 food crisis» had resulted in «an enormous number» of inquiries from member countries. «The purpose of holding this meeting is for exporting and importing countries to engage.»

Russia is traditionally the world’s fourth-largest wheat exporter, and the export ban has already forced importers in the Middle East and North Africa, the biggest buyers, to seek supplies in Europe and the US.

Mr Putin said Moscow could «only consider lifting the export ban after next year’s crop has been harvested and we have clarity on the grain balances». He added that the decision to extend the ban was intended to «end unnecessary anxiety and to ensure a stable and predict-able business environment for market participants».

«This is quite serious,» said Abdolreza Abbassian, of the FAO in Rome. «Two years in a row without Russian exports creates quite a disturbance.» Dan Manternach, chief wheat economist at Doane Agricultural Services in St Louis, added: «This is a wake-up call for importing nations about the reliability of Russia.»

Jakkie Cilliers, director of South Africa’s Institute of Security Studies, said there was concern over a repeat of the protests of 2008: «That certainly strengthened a return of the military in politics in Africa.»

European wheat prices on Thursday hit €231.5 a tonne, just shy of last month’s two-year high of €236. Wheat prices have surged nearly 70 per cent since January, and analysts forecast further rises after Russia’s decision and concerns about weather damage to Australia’s crop.

"The Financial Times"

Editorial
As Russia and the United States prepare for their respective presidential elections, tensions between the countries are growing. The central point of contention is U.S. ballistic missile defense (BMD) plans. Russia has several levers, including its ability to cut off supply lines to the NATO-led war effort in Afghanistan, to use in the standoff over BMD, but the United States could retaliate by supporting the current protests in Russia. Moscow is willing to escalate tensions with Washington but will not push the crisis to the point where relations could formally break.
Editorial
As Russia and the United States prepare for their respective presidential elections, tensions between the countries are growing. The central point of contention is U.S. ballistic missile defense (BMD) plans. Russia has several levers, including its ability to cut off supply lines to the NATO-led war effort in Afghanistan, to use in the standoff over BMD, but the United States could retaliate by supporting the current protests in Russia. Moscow is willing to escalate tensions with Washington but will not push the crisis to the point where relations could formally break.
© "America-Russia.net". American-Russian alliance. All Rights Reserved.
Editorial Office in USA: 1800 Connecticut Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20009; Tel. 202-364-0200; Fax 240-554-1650; e-mail: russia@russiahouse.org
Site supported by: Kontinent USA and American University in Moscow ,2011
Rambler's Top100 Рейтинг@Mail.ru