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Putin rallies Third World to go it alone

Putin rallies Third World to go it alone
June 18, 2007

Never one to mince words, Vladimir Putin last week attacked the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and the World Trade Organisation. At a ritzy business summit in St Petersburg - the biggest since communism collapsed - the Russian President dismissed the Western-dominated multilateral bodies, set up 50 years ago, as "archaic, awkward and undemocratic".

By urging developing countries to consider new forums for economic cooperation - independent of America, the EU and Japan - Putin tapped into deep seams of resentment, built up over generations, in capital cities from Bogota to Beijing.

The ex-KGB judo champion, as ever, picked his moment well. The World Bank is reeling, with the White House refusing even to consider that a non-American might for once be chosen as boss, after Bush groupie Paul Wolfowitz was forced to resign. The IMF, too, has lost its way - being attacked by Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel-Prize winning US economist, as "appalling" and "the cause of great economic damage".

Until recently, developing countries secured serious inward investment only if the IMF, hands firmly on the policy levers, gave a thumbs-up to the outside world.

No longer. And by making that point in St Petersburg - surrounded by thousands of salivating foreign business types who don't care what the IMF says - Putin's words rang true.

But Russia's jibe at the WTO was, strategically, most damaging. The Doha trade talks, launched as the "development round" in 2001, are now in cold storage. The huge trade-driven "emerging giants" - the likes of Brazil, India and China - are furious that a deal hasn't been done. Having bought into the WTO, these countries would benefit handsomely from a co-ordinated lowering of trade barriers.

Such nations, insisting on more access to Western markets and lower farm subsidies, blame the EU and US for refusing to give ground. And they're right. Pascal Lamy, the WTO chief and a former EU trade commissioner, admits some of the trade rules are "remnants of colonialism" that "disfavour the developing world".

So what is Putin up to? Well, after 10 years of haggling, Russia still hasn't been granted WTO membership. Despite backing America's "War on Terror", Moscow's application continues to be blocked by the West. At the recent G8 summit, Moscow's efforts to join were spurned once again.

I'd venture that Russia has now given up on WTO membership. In St Petersburg, Putin was calling on the entire developing world to spurn multilateralism, insisting that the institutions concerned exist only to protect the interests of a few rich Western nations.

That message will resonate with WTO members everywhere who are sick and tired that the Doha round has turned out just like all the other post-war trade talks - with the usual suspects calling the shots.

In that sense, Putin's speech could be a turning point in history - marking the end of multilateralism, a half-century experiment wrecked by bull-headed Western politicians.

We could, in fact, be on the brink of a return to the historic norm of global economic regionalism, with all the conflict that brings.

The Telegraph

Editorial
As Russia and the United States prepare for their respective presidential elections, tensions between the countries are growing. The central point of contention is U.S. ballistic missile defense (BMD) plans. Russia has several levers, including its ability to cut off supply lines to the NATO-led war effort in Afghanistan, to use in the standoff over BMD, but the United States could retaliate by supporting the current protests in Russia. Moscow is willing to escalate tensions with Washington but will not push the crisis to the point where relations could formally break.
Keyur Patel
High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Russia released a preliminary estimate for 2011 GDP growth on Tuesday - and at 4.3 per cent, it looks pretty healthy. The figure crept ahead of analyst expectations, buoyed by a strong recovery in consumer demand over the year, while 2010 growth was revised upwards, also to 4.3 per cent. Renaissance Capital was cautiously bullish, calling the forecast 'reason for a (modest) celebration'.
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