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::Geopolitics

Russia’s resurgence

Russia’s resurgence
June 25, 2007
Matthew CHANCE, Moscow-based CNN Senior International Correspondent

RUSSIA has staged a remarkable comeback in recent years. Gone are the days, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, when the Kremlin depended on Western handouts to keep its fragile economy afloat.

The country has emerged as the world’s biggest energy producer. It supplies Western Europe with more than a third of its natural gas, and pumps more oil than Saudi Arabia. It truly is an energy superpower.

High commodity prices have swelled the Kremlin’s coffers. Russia now has the third largest reserve of foreign currency in the world — by far the biggest in Europe. It’s established a stabilisation fund, now worth more than 116 billion dollars. It is paying off its foreign debts, ahead of schedule.

There is a growing middle class, as wealth once held only by a few oligarchs begins to trickle down to ordinary Russians. Within a few decades, at current rates of growth, Russia could emerge as a powerful economy.

But this remains a nation fraught with problems and uncertainty. The fast pace of economic growth has left a dangerously wide gap between the rich and the poor. Infrastructure --- transport systems, hospitals, schools, etc --- still suffers from acute under-investment. Corruption is rife: ask anyone who’s stopped by a Moscow traffic cop. The Russian prosecutor general recently estimated that government officials in his country take $240 billion a year in bribes — that’s as much as the national budget.

Transparency International recently placed Russia 121 on its list of least transparent places in which to do business, on a par with Rwanda.

Contract killings of bankers, journalists, politicians and Kremlin opponents have rocked the Russian society and grabbed international headlines.

Critics accuse President Vladimir Putin of backsliding on democracy, of trying to silence the free press, of encouraging nationalism and xenophobia, and of using the vast energy resources at Russia’s disposal as a powerful weapon of foreign policy.

All of this has placed it increasingly at odds with powers like the United States, with whom tensions have grown, particularly over the issues of missile defence, Kosovo, and Iranian nuclear ambitions.

On top of all this, Russia is mired in a potentially devastating demographic crisis — because of high death rates. The World Bank warns that the country’s shrinking workforce could curtail future economic growth.

Yet there is hope. Despite myriad problems and challenges, Russia has proved itself a profitable and important recipient of inward foreign investment. Big brands, often with local partners, calculate that — despite the risks — this vast nation of 11 time zones and enormous resources is simply too important for them NOT to be there. It is a country of great potential, and one which — as history has shown us — is better embraced by the rest of the world than allowed to turn away.

Ted Galen CARPENTER
vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute
U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice huffed that her country was 'disgusted' by Russia and China's decision to veto a UN Security Council resolution condemning the violence in Syria and calling for an immediate end to that bloodshed. Their actions, she added, were 'shameful' and 'unforgivable.' Not only could Ambassador Rice apparently use a refresher course in diplomatic language, Washington's response also betrays a troubling arrogance on two levels.
Keyur Patel
High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Russia released a preliminary estimate for 2011 GDP growth on Tuesday - and at 4.3 per cent, it looks pretty healthy. The figure crept ahead of analyst expectations, buoyed by a strong recovery in consumer demand over the year, while 2010 growth was revised upwards, also to 4.3 per cent. Renaissance Capital was cautiously bullish, calling the forecast 'reason for a (modest) celebration'.
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