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Last updated: 7 February 2012

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Invincible Russian Rating

Invincible Russian Rating
September 12, 2007

Standard & Poor’s rating agency’s research says that Russia is not as vulnerable as its neighbors to the international liquidity crisis. However, it is unlikely that the rating would grow sooner than financial markets stabilize, and than the activities of rating agencies themselves are reconsidered.

 Standard & Poor’s (S&P) rating agency published on Monday its report analyzing the stability of financial systems in the developing countries of Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA). S&P surveyed 15 countries, including Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, South Africa, the Czech Republic, Latvia, Poland, and Egypt. Russia fell among the countries least vulnerable to the liquidity crisis at the international markets.

The most risky situation is in Latvia’s over-heated economy. Bulgaria, Turkey, and Romania’s situation is just a little better. All these countries show high speed of GDP growth, financing investments by foreign loans. They also compensate the exterior trade’s negative balance by means of high influx of capital.

According to S&P, Russia’s rating is BBB+/Stable now. Russia received it exactly a year ago, on September 4, 2006. Considering the on-going discussions in the EU and the U.S. about the necessity to change the control over and the work of rating agencies, Russia’s rating will change only after liquidity returns to the international markets and the rating agencies undergo changes.

Kommersant

Editorial
As Russia and the United States prepare for their respective presidential elections, tensions between the countries are growing. The central point of contention is U.S. ballistic missile defense (BMD) plans. Russia has several levers, including its ability to cut off supply lines to the NATO-led war effort in Afghanistan, to use in the standoff over BMD, but the United States could retaliate by supporting the current protests in Russia. Moscow is willing to escalate tensions with Washington but will not push the crisis to the point where relations could formally break.
Keyur Patel
High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Russia released a preliminary estimate for 2011 GDP growth on Tuesday - and at 4.3 per cent, it looks pretty healthy. The figure crept ahead of analyst expectations, buoyed by a strong recovery in consumer demand over the year, while 2010 growth was revised upwards, also to 4.3 per cent. Renaissance Capital was cautiously bullish, calling the forecast 'reason for a (modest) celebration'.
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