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Shevardnadze: No room for complacency post-Cold War

Shevardnadze: No room for complacency post-Cold War
September 7, 2009
Matt Robinson and Margarita Antidze

Eduard Shevardnadze keeps a small piece of the Berlin Wall in his study, and the man who helped end the Cold War says the risk of a new one remains.

Twenty years after the wall came down, the former Soviet foreign minister who aided Moscow's reconciliation with the West says the world is a safer place, but warns against complacency.

In an interview before the November anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall, the chief collaborator of former Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev lamented the collapse of the Soviet Union but said he had no regrets about the policies of "perestroika" and "glasnost" that preceded it.

The world must now grapple with a resurgent Russia and the untold power of an emerging China, he said. U.S.-Russian relations remain a cause for concern.

"The world is undoubtedly more secure than during the Cold War. But I cannot say we can rest easy," he told Reuters at the weekend in his guarded residence in the Georgian capital, Tbilisi.

"The first signs of a new Cold War have already appeared," he said, referring to U.S. plans to deploy a missile shield in central Europe, which Washington says is to defend against Iran. Russia says the plan is a direct threat and has threatened to deploy rockets in an enclave near Poland in retaliation.

Shevardnadze, his speech slow and trademark white hair thinning at the age of 81, warned of the dangers posed by a growing insurgency in Russia's southern republics.

After communism collapsed, he became president of newly independent Georgia and he now criticises the actions of his successor, U.S.-ally Mikheil Saakashvili.

He laments how Saakashvili sent in Georgia's army against pro-Russian separatists in South Ossetia in August last year, resulting in a devastating five-day war with Russia.

And he spoke with concern about the unpredictability of China in a new world balance of power. As president of Georgia, Shevardnadze said he warned then Russian President Vladimir Putin, now prime minister, of Chinese pretensions towards Siberia.

"Undoubtedly, the world is a better place," he said. "It has become calmer. Relations between countries have improved... But we must think not only about the situation today, but also about tomorrow. What's going to happen with China?"

"NO SURPRISE"

The world this year marks the 20th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall, and Shevardnadze accepts the gratitude expressed to him on the wooden mounting of the piece of the wall in his study. It bears the words, "Eduard, Danke!"

On Nov. 9, 1989, Guenter Schabowski, spokesman for the East German government, showed a piece of paper to journalists and asked, "You'll all have seen this?"

The statement waved "preconditions" for East Germans to travel to the West. Within hours thousands were streaming through the gates. The wall, thrown up in 1961 to divide East Berlin from West, was coming down.

Shevardnadze, who later fell from grace with the 2003 "Rose Revolution" that toppled him as Georgian president, was instrumental in the opening up of Soviet society under Gorbachev in the late 1980s and defining a new policy of pragmatic idealism for dealing with the West and ending the Cold War.

A Georgian with a dry wit and wan smile, he marked a clean break in style and substance from his stolid predecessors as top diplomat. He says the fall of the Berlin Wall came as no surprise.

"I knew that sooner or later it would happen. We didn't help or prevent it. The Germans themselves started to break up the Berlin Wall." he said.

"I believe that in those years I was right, and the policy that I and Gorbachev pursued was the only correct policy, although the result of that policy became the collapse of the Soviet Union."

http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/9/6/worldupdates/2009-09-06T173147Z_01_NOOTR_RTRMDNC_0_-422547-1&sec=Worldupdates

Editorial
As Russia and the United States prepare for their respective presidential elections, tensions between the countries are growing. The central point of contention is U.S. ballistic missile defense (BMD) plans. Russia has several levers, including its ability to cut off supply lines to the NATO-led war effort in Afghanistan, to use in the standoff over BMD, but the United States could retaliate by supporting the current protests in Russia. Moscow is willing to escalate tensions with Washington but will not push the crisis to the point where relations could formally break.
Keyur Patel
High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Russia released a preliminary estimate for 2011 GDP growth on Tuesday - and at 4.3 per cent, it looks pretty healthy. The figure crept ahead of analyst expectations, buoyed by a strong recovery in consumer demand over the year, while 2010 growth was revised upwards, also to 4.3 per cent. Renaissance Capital was cautiously bullish, calling the forecast 'reason for a (modest) celebration'.
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